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    Bitcoin and oil: questions to ask before trusting a correlation

    BitOil Research·April 12, 2026

    Why two market charts are not a backtest, and what a reproducible comparison needs to disclose.

    Editorial correction, November 10, 2026: the earlier headline implied a 2025 data analysis that was not provided. This post now states the evidence needed to evaluate that claim. Bitcoin mining uses electricity, but that does not establish a stable relationship between Bitcoin prices and crude oil. A claim about a measured correlation needs a specified dataset, dates, method and results. This article does not present a 2025 backtest or a current coefficient. A reproducible comparison should identify the oil instrument, align observation times and trading days, compare appropriately defined returns, and show how results change across windows. Correlation does not establish causation or a profitable strategy.
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